[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"events-category-politics":3,"events-nav-categories":946},{"data":4,"links":933,"meta":935},[5,40,663],{"id":6,"uuid":7,"title":8,"slug":9,"description":10,"rules":11,"market_context":12,"total_volume":13,"status":14,"image_url":15,"starts_at":10,"is_featured":16,"category":17,"tags":21,"markets_count":18,"markets":22,"created_at":38,"updated_at":39},2,"1efeb225-d96b-458b-9d2f-ef79c159da08","Will Edwin Sifuna formally announce a presidential bid before 31 December 2026?","will-edwin-sifuna-formally-announce-a-presidential-bid-before-31-december-2026",null,"\u003Cp>Resolves to YES if Edwin Sifuna formally and publicly announces his intention to run for President of Kenya on or before 11:59 PM EAT on December 31, 2026. A \"formal announcement\" is defined as a definitive public declaration via a scheduled press conference, an official press release, or a verified social media statement. Speculation, rumors, or off-hand remarks at rallies do not qualify.\u003C\u002Fp>","\u003Cp>Given the shifting dynamics within ODM and his rising national profile as Nairobi Senator, speculation is mounting over whether Edwin Sifuna will bypass a gubernatorial run to aim for the top seat.\u003C\u002Fp>",414.6573,"ACTIVE","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002Fd3ac30d7-bcda-4dd2-9550-58d88e1c1285\u002Fsifuna.jpeg",false,{"id":18,"title":19,"slug":20},1,"Politics","politics",[],[23],{"id":24,"uuid":25,"event_id":6,"label":26,"question":27,"slug":28,"status":14,"current_probability":29,"liquidity_b":30,"q_yes":31,"q_no":32,"total_volume":13,"image_url":15,"current_price_yes":33,"current_price_no":34,"event":35,"created_at":38,"updated_at":39},12,"06dfcbec-6751-4beb-95bf-85ea98d44700","Yes","Will Edwin Sifuna announce a 2027 presidential bid by Dec 31, 2026?","will-edwin-sifuna-announce-a-2027-presidential-bid-by-dec-31-2026-kdaj","0.3510",800,"-836.0906","-344.4752",35.10289864319459,64.89710135680541,{"id":6,"uuid":7,"title":8,"slug":9,"description":10,"rules":11,"market_context":12,"total_volume":13,"status":14,"image_url":15,"starts_at":10,"is_featured":16,"category":36,"tags":37,"created_at":38,"updated_at":39},{"id":18,"title":19,"slug":20},[],"2026-08-10T11:11:22.000000Z","2026-08-13T12:35:24.000000Z",{"id":41,"uuid":42,"title":43,"slug":44,"description":10,"rules":45,"market_context":46,"total_volume":47,"status":14,"image_url":48,"starts_at":10,"is_featured":16,"category":49,"tags":50,"markets_count":51,"markets":52,"created_at":38,"updated_at":218},5,"c596a838-5bb7-47d3-be3a-025b34265d0f","Who will be William Ruto’s official running mate for the 2027 election?","who-will-be-william-rutos-official-running-mate-for-the-2027-election","\u003Cp>Resolves to the individual officially named and submitted to the IEBC as the Deputy Presidential candidate on William Ruto’s ticket for the 2027 General Elections.\u003C\u002Fp>","\u003Cp>With the shifting alliances of the \"Broad-Based Government\" and fractured relations in Mt. Kenya, the race to secure the Deputy President slot on the UDA\u002FKenya Kwanza 2027 ticket includes fierce competition between Mt. Kenya loyalists, ODM partners, and Ukambani kingpins.\u003C\u002Fp>",0,"https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F16d83e2c-8b7b-4c44-90c8-0739f853a33c\u002Fruto-iebc.avif",{"id":18,"title":19,"slug":20},[],19,[53,219,245,271,297,323,349,373,397,423,447,471,495,519,543,567,591,615,639],{"id":54,"uuid":55,"event_id":41,"label":56,"question":57,"slug":58,"status":14,"current_probability":59,"liquidity_b":60,"q_yes":61,"q_no":62,"total_volume":47,"image_url":63,"current_price_yes":64,"current_price_no":65,"event":66,"created_at":38,"updated_at":71},17,"e9a24dab-07a0-4a12-8199-ea7ce586826e","Kithure Kindiki","Will Kithure Kindiki be named Ruto's running mate?","will-kithure-kindiki-be-named-rutos-running-mate-onjl","0.2500",2500,"6314.3216","0.0000","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002Fc4abbf35-0c29-41be-ae22-49d0cddbed2a\u002Fkithure-kindiki.jpeg",24.999999714540703,75.0000002854593,{"id":41,"uuid":42,"title":43,"slug":44,"description":10,"rules":45,"market_context":46,"total_volume":47,"status":14,"image_url":48,"starts_at":10,"is_featured":16,"category":67,"tags":68,"markets":69,"created_at":38,"updated_at":218},{"id":18,"title":19,"slug":20},[],[70,72,82,91,101,111,121,129,137,146,154,162,170,178,186,194,200,206,212],{"id":54,"uuid":55,"event_id":41,"label":56,"question":57,"slug":58,"status":14,"current_probability":59,"liquidity_b":60,"q_yes":61,"q_no":62,"total_volume":47,"image_url":63,"created_at":38,"updated_at":71},"2026-08-17T09:55:38.000000Z",{"id":73,"uuid":74,"event_id":41,"label":75,"question":76,"slug":77,"status":14,"current_probability":78,"liquidity_b":60,"q_yes":79,"q_no":62,"total_volume":47,"image_url":80,"created_at":38,"updated_at":81},18,"25a75a67-d192-4f4b-a3d4-783b299b18f6","Ndindi Nyoro","Will Ndindi Nyoro be named Ruto's running mate?","will-ndindi-nyoro-be-named-rutos-running-mate-8lrp","0.1500","5037.2576","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F4feabaea-d620-40ca-9411-351656f718e4\u002Fndindi-nyoro.jpeg","2026-08-17T09:56:51.000000Z",{"id":51,"uuid":83,"event_id":41,"label":84,"question":85,"slug":86,"status":14,"current_probability":87,"liquidity_b":60,"q_yes":88,"q_no":62,"total_volume":47,"image_url":89,"created_at":38,"updated_at":90},"8f55c9df-121c-4232-95eb-ba5d9db1daa0","Musalia Mudavadi","Will Musalia Mudavadi be named Ruto's running mate?","will-musalia-mudavadi-be-named-rutos-running-mate-nplv","0.1000","4023.5948","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002Fcf9e2242-6410-489c-9acd-ac953bc7de3d\u002Fmusalia-mudavadi.jpg","2026-08-17T09:57:04.000000Z",{"id":92,"uuid":93,"event_id":41,"label":94,"question":95,"slug":96,"status":14,"current_probability":97,"liquidity_b":60,"q_yes":98,"q_no":62,"total_volume":47,"image_url":99,"created_at":38,"updated_at":100},20,"5c508b5f-6cea-489c-b37b-f8a2ac5a02f4","Anne Waiguru","Will Anne Waiguru be named Ruto's running mate?","will-anne-waiguru-be-named-rutos-running-mate-nwrt","0.0800","3465.7359","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F33a80bfe-0ad8-497d-b214-89fb286efc25\u002Fanne-waiguru.jpeg","2026-08-17T09:57:18.000000Z",{"id":102,"uuid":103,"event_id":41,"label":104,"question":105,"slug":106,"status":14,"current_probability":107,"liquidity_b":60,"q_yes":108,"q_no":62,"total_volume":47,"image_url":109,"created_at":38,"updated_at":110},21,"a725708b-304d-4bfc-9642-7b4d7288dcdd","Kimani Ichung'wah","Will Kimani Ichung'wah be named Ruto's running mate?","will-kimani-ichungwah-be-named-rutos-running-mate-bdar","0.0400","1732.8680","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F2f2284f0-30a4-484f-97df-81b5243b8a5c\u002Fkimani-ichungwah.jpeg","2026-08-17T09:58:33.000000Z",{"id":112,"uuid":113,"event_id":41,"label":114,"question":115,"slug":116,"status":14,"current_probability":117,"liquidity_b":60,"q_yes":118,"q_no":62,"total_volume":47,"image_url":119,"created_at":38,"updated_at":120},22,"45b79e9f-82fa-4844-a121-d6cd3edb3cd3","Irungu Kang'ata","Will Irungu Kang'ata be named Ruto's running mate?","will-irungu-kangata-be-named-rutos-running-mate-lp4a","0.0300","1013.6628","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F278b7efd-50d6-4880-9927-71709b96c7b2\u002Firungu-kangata.jpeg","2026-08-17T09:58:47.000000Z",{"id":122,"uuid":123,"event_id":41,"label":124,"question":125,"slug":126,"status":14,"current_probability":107,"liquidity_b":60,"q_yes":108,"q_no":62,"total_volume":47,"image_url":127,"created_at":38,"updated_at":128},23,"040246cb-d601-4b98-9d3b-6468ed05f92f","Hassan Joho","Will Hassan Joho be named Ruto's running mate?","will-hassan-joho-be-named-rutos-running-mate-nk56","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F3a31de5d-37f4-4259-aaa4-4562b3a08f1e\u002Fhassan-joho.webp","2026-08-17T09:58:16.000000Z",{"id":130,"uuid":131,"event_id":41,"label":132,"question":133,"slug":134,"status":14,"current_probability":107,"liquidity_b":60,"q_yes":108,"q_no":62,"total_volume":47,"image_url":135,"created_at":38,"updated_at":136},24,"2083bb23-50d6-4338-9fc2-50db8ea6e3c0","Wycliffe Oparanya","Will Wycliffe Oparanya be named Ruto's running mate?","will-wycliffe-oparanya-be-named-rutos-running-mate-tpqf","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002Fbd7057f6-04b1-4f18-86ca-0af05a9de958\u002Fwycliffe-oparanya.jpeg","2026-08-17T09:58:02.000000Z",{"id":138,"uuid":139,"event_id":41,"label":140,"question":141,"slug":142,"status":14,"current_probability":143,"liquidity_b":60,"q_yes":62,"q_no":62,"total_volume":47,"image_url":144,"created_at":38,"updated_at":145},25,"568d26d2-88a6-4aa7-a7f7-f1d18108e8fe","Gladys Wanga","Will Gladys Wanga be named Ruto's running mate?","will-gladys-wanga-be-named-rutos-running-mate-szhu","0.0200","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F0b00495f-8d7a-48ba-bd10-264afecbce80\u002Fgladys-wanga.jpeg","2026-08-17T09:59:36.000000Z",{"id":147,"uuid":148,"event_id":41,"label":149,"question":150,"slug":151,"status":14,"current_probability":107,"liquidity_b":60,"q_yes":108,"q_no":62,"total_volume":47,"image_url":152,"created_at":38,"updated_at":153},26,"f0c55b7e-05a2-4423-a75e-74781367b7af","Alfred Mutua","Will Alfred Mutua be named Ruto's running mate?","will-alfred-mutua-be-named-rutos-running-mate-djhb","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F323d0ffb-ada1-4706-b0c0-d0b313acd3eb\u002Falfred-mutua.webp","2026-08-17T09:57:31.000000Z",{"id":155,"uuid":156,"event_id":41,"label":157,"question":158,"slug":159,"status":14,"current_probability":117,"liquidity_b":60,"q_yes":118,"q_no":62,"total_volume":47,"image_url":160,"created_at":38,"updated_at":161},27,"af0a0c3d-9ad2-45bb-a630-ddc17ede5ad6","Kalonzo Musyoka","Will Kalonzo Musyoka be named Ruto's running mate?","will-kalonzo-musyoka-be-named-rutos-running-mate-qfow","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F440e1e38-c51a-4ab0-9d72-2f31d443f8f1\u002Fkalonzo-musyoka.jpeg","2026-08-17T09:59:15.000000Z",{"id":163,"uuid":164,"event_id":41,"label":165,"question":166,"slug":167,"status":14,"current_probability":107,"liquidity_b":60,"q_yes":108,"q_no":62,"total_volume":47,"image_url":168,"created_at":38,"updated_at":169},28,"9e234721-1a69-44d1-8da6-408a986744dd","Moses Wetang'ula","Will Moses Wetang'ula be named Ruto's running mate?","will-moses-wetangula-be-named-rutos-running-mate-vflo","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F8a1b5654-5bb0-4f95-9d8f-dda2569bba66\u002Fmoses-wetangula.jpeg","2026-08-17T09:57:44.000000Z",{"id":171,"uuid":172,"event_id":41,"label":173,"question":174,"slug":175,"status":14,"current_probability":143,"liquidity_b":60,"q_yes":62,"q_no":62,"total_volume":47,"image_url":176,"created_at":38,"updated_at":177},29,"ee961f94-9e41-43e9-8352-dc8f67015ff1","Mutahi Kahiga","Will Mutahi Kahiga be named Ruto's running mate?","will-mutahi-kahiga-be-named-rutos-running-mate-fw1g","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F81f32db6-4240-483a-b51a-36374d90efee\u002Fmutahi-kahiga.jpeg","2026-08-17T09:59:54.000000Z",{"id":179,"uuid":180,"event_id":41,"label":181,"question":182,"slug":183,"status":14,"current_probability":143,"liquidity_b":60,"q_yes":62,"q_no":62,"total_volume":47,"image_url":184,"created_at":38,"updated_at":185},30,"42fa1a64-0eef-4641-ada8-f6ea7d907bec","Mwangi Kiunjuri","Will Mwangi Kiunjuri be named Ruto's running mate?","will-mwangi-kiunjuri-be-named-rutos-running-mate-h1wd","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F447620d4-0b90-43cb-9a7d-df8f519f8914\u002Fmwangi-kiunjuri.jpeg","2026-08-17T10:00:10.000000Z",{"id":187,"uuid":188,"event_id":41,"label":189,"question":190,"slug":191,"status":14,"current_probability":143,"liquidity_b":60,"q_yes":62,"q_no":62,"total_volume":47,"image_url":192,"created_at":38,"updated_at":193},31,"7f5f2caa-bfe2-49e3-91ca-55835797da7c","Amason Kingi","Will Amason Kingi be named Ruto's running mate?","will-amason-kingi-be-named-rutos-running-mate-rrl4","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002Ff5e0eea1-e5d1-415c-92f7-2d77d708af7f\u002Famason-kingi.webp","2026-08-17T10:00:24.000000Z",{"id":195,"uuid":196,"event_id":41,"label":197,"question":198,"slug":199,"status":14,"current_probability":143,"liquidity_b":60,"q_yes":62,"q_no":62,"total_volume":47,"image_url":10,"created_at":38,"updated_at":38},32,"7010dfe7-bd2d-45b4-8b9b-6dc00d15c95a","Rigathi Gachagua","Will Rigathi Gachagua be named Ruto's running mate?","will-rigathi-gachagua-be-named-rutos-running-mate-lpry",{"id":201,"uuid":202,"event_id":41,"label":203,"question":204,"slug":205,"status":14,"current_probability":143,"liquidity_b":60,"q_yes":62,"q_no":62,"total_volume":47,"image_url":10,"created_at":38,"updated_at":38},33,"de40b6e1-cfda-4fde-bba7-9db0448f8a1c","Moses Kuria","Will Moses Kuria be named Ruto's running 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