[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"events-nav-categories":3,"events-home":3},{"data":4,"links":1041,"meta":1043},[5,39,69,130,156,775],{"id":6,"uuid":7,"title":8,"slug":9,"description":10,"rules":11,"market_context":12,"total_volume":13,"status":14,"image_url":10,"starts_at":10,"is_featured":15,"category":16,"tags":20,"markets_count":21,"markets":22,"created_at":38,"updated_at":38},6,"bad25e92-cf92-4921-9963-e4dc069bca8c","Will the Kenyan Shilling (KES) close weaker than 135.00 against the US Dollar in 2026?","will-the-kenyan-shilling-kes-close-weaker-than-13500-against-the-us-dollar-in-2026",null,"Resolves to YES if the official CBK mean indicative exchange rate for USD\u002FKES is 135.01 or higher on the final official trading day of 2026.","After significant volatility and CBK interventions, currency traders are heavily speculating on whether the Shilling will stabilize or depreciate past the 135 mark by the close of the year.",0,"ACTIVE",false,{"id":17,"title":18,"slug":19},3,"Economy","economy",[],1,[23],{"id":24,"uuid":25,"event_id":6,"label":26,"question":27,"slug":28,"status":14,"current_probability":29,"liquidity_b":30,"q_yes":31,"q_no":32,"total_volume":13,"image_url":10,"current_price_yes":33,"current_price_no":34,"event":35,"created_at":38,"updated_at":38},36,"409dc665-7406-4427-a634-31bf91c096c1","Yes","Will the USD\u002FKES official mean exchange rate close above 135.00 at the end of 2026?","will-the-usdkes-official-mean-exchange-rate-close-above-13500-at-the-end-of-2026-ejwy","0.4500",1000,"-798.5077","-597.8370",44.99999988768825,55.00000011231175,{"id":6,"uuid":7,"title":8,"slug":9,"description":10,"rules":11,"market_context":12,"total_volume":13,"status":14,"image_url":10,"starts_at":10,"is_featured":15,"category":36,"tags":37,"created_at":38,"updated_at":38},{"id":17,"title":18,"slug":19},[],"2026-08-10T11:11:23.000000Z",{"id":40,"uuid":41,"title":42,"slug":43,"description":10,"rules":44,"market_context":45,"total_volume":46,"status":14,"image_url":47,"starts_at":10,"is_featured":15,"category":48,"tags":51,"markets_count":21,"markets":52,"created_at":67,"updated_at":68},2,"1efeb225-d96b-458b-9d2f-ef79c159da08","Will Edwin Sifuna formally announce a presidential bid before 31 December 2026?","will-edwin-sifuna-formally-announce-a-presidential-bid-before-31-december-2026","\u003Cp>Resolves to YES if Edwin Sifuna formally and publicly announces his intention to run for President of Kenya on or before 11:59 PM EAT on December 31, 2026. A \"formal announcement\" is defined as a definitive public declaration via a scheduled press conference, an official press release, or a verified social media statement. Speculation, rumors, or off-hand remarks at rallies do not qualify.\u003C\u002Fp>","\u003Cp>Given the shifting dynamics within ODM and his rising national profile as Nairobi Senator, speculation is mounting over whether Edwin Sifuna will bypass a gubernatorial run to aim for the top seat.\u003C\u002Fp>",414.6573,"https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002Fd3ac30d7-bcda-4dd2-9550-58d88e1c1285\u002Fsifuna.jpeg",{"id":21,"title":49,"slug":50},"Politics","politics",[],[53],{"id":54,"uuid":55,"event_id":40,"label":26,"question":56,"slug":57,"status":14,"current_probability":58,"liquidity_b":59,"q_yes":60,"q_no":61,"total_volume":46,"image_url":47,"current_price_yes":62,"current_price_no":63,"event":64,"created_at":67,"updated_at":68},12,"06dfcbec-6751-4beb-95bf-85ea98d44700","Will Edwin Sifuna announce a 2027 presidential bid by Dec 31, 2026?","will-edwin-sifuna-announce-a-2027-presidential-bid-by-dec-31-2026-kdaj","0.3510",800,"-836.0906","-344.4752",35.10289864319459,64.89710135680541,{"id":40,"uuid":41,"title":42,"slug":43,"description":10,"rules":44,"market_context":45,"total_volume":46,"status":14,"image_url":47,"starts_at":10,"is_featured":15,"category":65,"tags":66,"created_at":67,"updated_at":68},{"id":21,"title":49,"slug":50},[],"2026-08-10T11:11:22.000000Z","2026-08-13T12:35:24.000000Z",{"id":17,"uuid":70,"title":71,"slug":72,"description":10,"rules":73,"market_context":74,"total_volume":13,"status":14,"image_url":10,"starts_at":10,"is_featured":15,"category":75,"tags":76,"markets_count":17,"markets":77,"created_at":67,"updated_at":67},"efa309e7-4563-4cb5-87f8-3d2c0deff0ad","Which of these major mobile money providers will process the lowest total value in 2026?","which-of-these-major-mobile-money-providers-will-process-the-lowest-total-value-in-2026","Resolves to the mobile money provider that processes the lowest total transaction value (in KES) for the full calendar year of 2026, comparing only the options listed in this market. If a provider ceases operations entirely during 2026, they will be considered the lowest.","While M-PESA dominates the Kenyan market, the battle for secondary market share between Airtel Money, T-Kash, and Equitel remains fiercely competitive.",{"id":17,"title":18,"slug":19},[],[78,110,120],{"id":79,"uuid":80,"event_id":17,"label":81,"question":82,"slug":83,"status":14,"current_probability":84,"liquidity_b":85,"q_yes":86,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":10,"current_price_yes":88,"current_price_no":89,"event":90,"created_at":67,"updated_at":67},13,"d157c6b7-3811-4b86-8e55-026db2fe27fb","T-Kash","Will T-Kash (Telkom) process the lowest transaction value?","will-t-kash-telkom-process-the-lowest-transaction-value-qmt9","0.6000",1500,"2687.6392","0.0000",60.00000033455266,39.99999966544734,{"id":17,"uuid":70,"title":71,"slug":72,"description":10,"rules":73,"market_context":74,"total_volume":13,"status":14,"image_url":10,"starts_at":10,"is_featured":15,"category":91,"tags":92,"markets":93,"created_at":67,"updated_at":67},{"id":17,"title":18,"slug":19},[],[94,95,103],{"id":79,"uuid":80,"event_id":17,"label":81,"question":82,"slug":83,"status":14,"current_probability":84,"liquidity_b":85,"q_yes":86,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":10,"created_at":67,"updated_at":67},{"id":96,"uuid":97,"event_id":17,"label":98,"question":99,"slug":100,"status":14,"current_probability":101,"liquidity_b":85,"q_yes":102,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":10,"created_at":67,"updated_at":67},14,"902f2c6d-296d-49ad-ba30-ff7b57f63467","Equitel","Will Equitel process the lowest transaction value?","will-equitel-process-the-lowest-transaction-value-lgha","0.3000","1647.9184",{"id":104,"uuid":105,"event_id":17,"label":106,"question":107,"slug":108,"status":14,"current_probability":109,"liquidity_b":85,"q_yes":87,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":10,"created_at":67,"updated_at":67},15,"7b27119c-2e1a-43ce-8e6a-b1a7f24cec4f","Airtel Money","Will Airtel Money process the lowest transaction value?","will-airtel-money-process-the-lowest-transaction-value-sgpv","0.1000",{"id":96,"uuid":97,"event_id":17,"label":98,"question":99,"slug":100,"status":14,"current_probability":101,"liquidity_b":85,"q_yes":102,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":10,"current_price_yes":111,"current_price_no":112,"event":113,"created_at":67,"updated_at":67},29.999999584074683,70.00000041592531,{"id":17,"uuid":70,"title":71,"slug":72,"description":10,"rules":73,"market_context":74,"total_volume":13,"status":14,"image_url":10,"starts_at":10,"is_featured":15,"category":114,"tags":115,"markets":116,"created_at":67,"updated_at":67},{"id":17,"title":18,"slug":19},[],[117,118,119],{"id":79,"uuid":80,"event_id":17,"label":81,"question":82,"slug":83,"status":14,"current_probability":84,"liquidity_b":85,"q_yes":86,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":10,"created_at":67,"updated_at":67},{"id":96,"uuid":97,"event_id":17,"label":98,"question":99,"slug":100,"status":14,"current_probability":101,"liquidity_b":85,"q_yes":102,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":10,"created_at":67,"updated_at":67},{"id":104,"uuid":105,"event_id":17,"label":106,"question":107,"slug":108,"status":14,"current_probability":109,"liquidity_b":85,"q_yes":87,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":10,"created_at":67,"updated_at":67},{"id":104,"uuid":105,"event_id":17,"label":106,"question":107,"slug":108,"status":14,"current_probability":109,"liquidity_b":85,"q_yes":87,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":10,"current_price_yes":121,"current_price_no":122,"event":123,"created_at":67,"updated_at":67},10.00000008137266,89.99999991862734,{"id":17,"uuid":70,"title":71,"slug":72,"description":10,"rules":73,"market_context":74,"total_volume":13,"status":14,"image_url":10,"starts_at":10,"is_featured":15,"category":124,"tags":125,"markets":126,"created_at":67,"updated_at":67},{"id":17,"title":18,"slug":19},[],[127,128,129],{"id":79,"uuid":80,"event_id":17,"label":81,"question":82,"slug":83,"status":14,"current_probability":84,"liquidity_b":85,"q_yes":86,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":10,"created_at":67,"updated_at":67},{"id":96,"uuid":97,"event_id":17,"label":98,"question":99,"slug":100,"status":14,"current_probability":101,"liquidity_b":85,"q_yes":102,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":10,"created_at":67,"updated_at":67},{"id":104,"uuid":105,"event_id":17,"label":106,"question":107,"slug":108,"status":14,"current_probability":109,"liquidity_b":85,"q_yes":87,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":10,"created_at":67,"updated_at":67},{"id":131,"uuid":132,"title":133,"slug":134,"description":10,"rules":135,"market_context":136,"total_volume":13,"status":14,"image_url":10,"starts_at":10,"is_featured":15,"category":137,"tags":140,"markets_count":21,"markets":141,"created_at":67,"updated_at":67},4,"a4eac053-1653-4daa-9aff-86f0748476b0","Will the courts officially overturn Rigathi Gachagua's impeachment by the end of 2026?","will-the-courts-officially-overturn-rigathi-gachaguas-impeachment-by-the-end-of-2026","Resolves to YES if the High Court, Court of Appeal, or Supreme Court of Kenya issues a final ruling that officially quashes, nullifies, or sets aside the impeachment of Rigathi Gachagua on or before Dec 31, 2026. Temporary injunctions or \"stay orders\" pending a final hearing do NOT count as overturning the impeachment.","The unprecedented impeachment proceedings have triggered a massive legal battle, with the judicial outcome likely to reshape the executive branch ahead of the 2027 elections.",{"id":131,"title":138,"slug":139},"Governance","governance",[],[142],{"id":143,"uuid":144,"event_id":131,"label":26,"question":145,"slug":146,"status":14,"current_probability":147,"liquidity_b":148,"q_yes":149,"q_no":150,"total_volume":13,"image_url":10,"current_price_yes":151,"current_price_no":152,"event":153,"created_at":67,"updated_at":67},16,"37944355-1223-4e2b-af8f-ccd3f5c4f933","Will Gachagua's impeachment be permanently overturned by a court by Dec 31, 2026?","will-gachaguas-impeachment-be-permanently-overturned-by-a-court-by-dec-31-2026-wyhd","0.2500",2000,"-2772.5887","-575.3641",24.99999978752706,75.00000021247294,{"id":131,"uuid":132,"title":133,"slug":134,"description":10,"rules":135,"market_context":136,"total_volume":13,"status":14,"image_url":10,"starts_at":10,"is_featured":15,"category":154,"tags":155,"created_at":67,"updated_at":67},{"id":131,"title":138,"slug":139},[],{"id":157,"uuid":158,"title":159,"slug":160,"description":10,"rules":161,"market_context":162,"total_volume":13,"status":14,"image_url":163,"starts_at":10,"is_featured":15,"category":164,"tags":165,"markets_count":166,"markets":167,"created_at":67,"updated_at":330},5,"c596a838-5bb7-47d3-be3a-025b34265d0f","Who will be William Ruto’s official running mate for the 2027 election?","who-will-be-william-rutos-official-running-mate-for-the-2027-election","\u003Cp>Resolves to the individual officially named and submitted to the IEBC as the Deputy Presidential candidate on William Ruto’s ticket for the 2027 General Elections.\u003C\u002Fp>","\u003Cp>With the shifting alliances of the \"Broad-Based Government\" and fractured relations in Mt. Kenya, the race to secure the Deputy President slot on the UDA\u002FKenya Kwanza 2027 ticket includes fierce competition between Mt. Kenya loyalists, ODM partners, and Ukambani kingpins.\u003C\u002Fp>","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F16d83e2c-8b7b-4c44-90c8-0739f853a33c\u002Fruto-iebc.avif",{"id":21,"title":49,"slug":50},[],19,[168,331,357,383,409,435,461,485,509,535,559,583,607,631,655,679,703,727,751],{"id":169,"uuid":170,"event_id":157,"label":171,"question":172,"slug":173,"status":14,"current_probability":147,"liquidity_b":174,"q_yes":175,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":176,"current_price_yes":177,"current_price_no":178,"event":179,"created_at":67,"updated_at":184},17,"e9a24dab-07a0-4a12-8199-ea7ce586826e","Kithure Kindiki","Will Kithure Kindiki be named Ruto's running mate?","will-kithure-kindiki-be-named-rutos-running-mate-onjl",2500,"6314.3216","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002Fc4abbf35-0c29-41be-ae22-49d0cddbed2a\u002Fkithure-kindiki.jpeg",24.999999714540703,75.0000002854593,{"id":157,"uuid":158,"title":159,"slug":160,"description":10,"rules":161,"market_context":162,"total_volume":13,"status":14,"image_url":163,"starts_at":10,"is_featured":15,"category":180,"tags":181,"markets":182,"created_at":67,"updated_at":330},{"id":21,"title":49,"slug":50},[],[183,185,195,203,213,223,233,241,249,258,266,274,282,290,298,306,312,318,324],{"id":169,"uuid":170,"event_id":157,"label":171,"question":172,"slug":173,"status":14,"current_probability":147,"liquidity_b":174,"q_yes":175,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":176,"created_at":67,"updated_at":184},"2026-08-17T09:55:38.000000Z",{"id":186,"uuid":187,"event_id":157,"label":188,"question":189,"slug":190,"status":14,"current_probability":191,"liquidity_b":174,"q_yes":192,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":193,"created_at":67,"updated_at":194},18,"25a75a67-d192-4f4b-a3d4-783b299b18f6","Ndindi Nyoro","Will Ndindi Nyoro be named Ruto's running mate?","will-ndindi-nyoro-be-named-rutos-running-mate-8lrp","0.1500","5037.2576","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F4feabaea-d620-40ca-9411-351656f718e4\u002Fndindi-nyoro.jpeg","2026-08-17T09:56:51.000000Z",{"id":166,"uuid":196,"event_id":157,"label":197,"question":198,"slug":199,"status":14,"current_probability":109,"liquidity_b":174,"q_yes":200,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":201,"created_at":67,"updated_at":202},"8f55c9df-121c-4232-95eb-ba5d9db1daa0","Musalia Mudavadi","Will Musalia Mudavadi be named Ruto's running mate?","will-musalia-mudavadi-be-named-rutos-running-mate-nplv","4023.5948","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002Fcf9e2242-6410-489c-9acd-ac953bc7de3d\u002Fmusalia-mudavadi.jpg","2026-08-17T09:57:04.000000Z",{"id":204,"uuid":205,"event_id":157,"label":206,"question":207,"slug":208,"status":14,"current_probability":209,"liquidity_b":174,"q_yes":210,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":211,"created_at":67,"updated_at":212},20,"5c508b5f-6cea-489c-b37b-f8a2ac5a02f4","Anne Waiguru","Will Anne Waiguru be named Ruto's running mate?","will-anne-waiguru-be-named-rutos-running-mate-nwrt","0.0800","3465.7359","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F33a80bfe-0ad8-497d-b214-89fb286efc25\u002Fanne-waiguru.jpeg","2026-08-17T09:57:18.000000Z",{"id":214,"uuid":215,"event_id":157,"label":216,"question":217,"slug":218,"status":14,"current_probability":219,"liquidity_b":174,"q_yes":220,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":221,"created_at":67,"updated_at":222},21,"a725708b-304d-4bfc-9642-7b4d7288dcdd","Kimani Ichung'wah","Will Kimani Ichung'wah be named Ruto's running mate?","will-kimani-ichungwah-be-named-rutos-running-mate-bdar","0.0400","1732.8680","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F2f2284f0-30a4-484f-97df-81b5243b8a5c\u002Fkimani-ichungwah.jpeg","2026-08-17T09:58:33.000000Z",{"id":224,"uuid":225,"event_id":157,"label":226,"question":227,"slug":228,"status":14,"current_probability":229,"liquidity_b":174,"q_yes":230,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":231,"created_at":67,"updated_at":232},22,"45b79e9f-82fa-4844-a121-d6cd3edb3cd3","Irungu Kang'ata","Will Irungu Kang'ata be named Ruto's running mate?","will-irungu-kangata-be-named-rutos-running-mate-lp4a","0.0300","1013.6628","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F278b7efd-50d6-4880-9927-71709b96c7b2\u002Firungu-kangata.jpeg","2026-08-17T09:58:47.000000Z",{"id":234,"uuid":235,"event_id":157,"label":236,"question":237,"slug":238,"status":14,"current_probability":219,"liquidity_b":174,"q_yes":220,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":239,"created_at":67,"updated_at":240},23,"040246cb-d601-4b98-9d3b-6468ed05f92f","Hassan Joho","Will Hassan Joho be named Ruto's running mate?","will-hassan-joho-be-named-rutos-running-mate-nk56","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F3a31de5d-37f4-4259-aaa4-4562b3a08f1e\u002Fhassan-joho.webp","2026-08-17T09:58:16.000000Z",{"id":242,"uuid":243,"event_id":157,"label":244,"question":245,"slug":246,"status":14,"current_probability":219,"liquidity_b":174,"q_yes":220,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":247,"created_at":67,"updated_at":248},24,"2083bb23-50d6-4338-9fc2-50db8ea6e3c0","Wycliffe Oparanya","Will Wycliffe Oparanya be named Ruto's running mate?","will-wycliffe-oparanya-be-named-rutos-running-mate-tpqf","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002Fbd7057f6-04b1-4f18-86ca-0af05a9de958\u002Fwycliffe-oparanya.jpeg","2026-08-17T09:58:02.000000Z",{"id":250,"uuid":251,"event_id":157,"label":252,"question":253,"slug":254,"status":14,"current_probability":255,"liquidity_b":174,"q_yes":87,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":256,"created_at":67,"updated_at":257},25,"568d26d2-88a6-4aa7-a7f7-f1d18108e8fe","Gladys Wanga","Will Gladys Wanga be named Ruto's running mate?","will-gladys-wanga-be-named-rutos-running-mate-szhu","0.0200","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F0b00495f-8d7a-48ba-bd10-264afecbce80\u002Fgladys-wanga.jpeg","2026-08-17T09:59:36.000000Z",{"id":259,"uuid":260,"event_id":157,"label":261,"question":262,"slug":263,"status":14,"current_probability":219,"liquidity_b":174,"q_yes":220,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":264,"created_at":67,"updated_at":265},26,"f0c55b7e-05a2-4423-a75e-74781367b7af","Alfred Mutua","Will Alfred Mutua be named Ruto's running mate?","will-alfred-mutua-be-named-rutos-running-mate-djhb","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F323d0ffb-ada1-4706-b0c0-d0b313acd3eb\u002Falfred-mutua.webp","2026-08-17T09:57:31.000000Z",{"id":267,"uuid":268,"event_id":157,"label":269,"question":270,"slug":271,"status":14,"current_probability":229,"liquidity_b":174,"q_yes":230,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":272,"created_at":67,"updated_at":273},27,"af0a0c3d-9ad2-45bb-a630-ddc17ede5ad6","Kalonzo Musyoka","Will Kalonzo Musyoka be named Ruto's running mate?","will-kalonzo-musyoka-be-named-rutos-running-mate-qfow","https:\u002F\u002Ftest-viusasa-bucket.obs.af-south-1.myhuaweicloud.com\u002F440e1e38-c51a-4ab0-9d72-2f31d443f8f1\u002Fkalonzo-musyoka.jpeg","2026-08-17T09:59:15.000000Z",{"id":275,"uuid":276,"event_id":157,"label":277,"question":278,"slug":279,"status":14,"current_probability":219,"liquidity_b":174,"q_yes":220,"q_no":87,"total_volume":13,"image_url":280,"created_at":67,"updated_at":281},28,"9e234721-1a69-44d1-8da6-408a986744dd","Moses Wetang'ula","Will Moses Wetang'ula be named Ruto's running 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